You've arrived at the Football Office -- a National Football League blog, with game picks, analysis and commentary!

Sunday, December 30, 2012

2012 Week 17 Picks

It's the last week of the season and anything can happen. I think the return of their coach, Chuck Pagano, will help the Colts defeat the Texans, who have never won at their stadium. The Bills will show up against the hopeless Jets and the Lions will show us why they were good last year. All of the three teams mentioned above play teams on the decline. And yes, I did pick the Redskins over the Cowboys.

Ravens (10-5) vs. Bengals (9-6)
Pick: Ravens   S: Ravens
Panthers (6-9) vs. Saints (7-8)
Pick: Saints   S: Saints
Jaguars (2-13) vs. Titans (5-10)
Pick: Titans   S: Titans
Buccaneers (6-9) vs. Falcons (13-2)
Pick: Falcons   S: Falcons
Eagles (4-11) vs. Giants (8-7)
Pick: Giants   S: Giants
Jets (6-9) vs. Bills (5-10)
Pick: Bills   S: Jets
Texans (12-3) vs. Colts (10-5)
Pick: Colts   S: Texans
Browns (5-10) vs. Steelers (7-8)
Pick: Steelers   S: Steelers
Bears (9-6) vs. Lions (4-11)
Pick: Lions   S: Bears
Packers (11-4) vs. Vikings (9-6)
Pick: Packers   S: Packers
Dolphins (7-8) vs. Patriots (11-4)
Pick: Patriots   S: Patriots
Cardinals (5-10) vs. 49ers (10-4-1)
Pick: 49ers   S: 49ers
Rams (7-7-1) vs. Seahawks (10-5)
Pick: Seahawks   S: Seahawks
Raiders (4-11) vs. Chargers (6-9)
Pick: Chargers   S: Chargers
Chiefs (2-13) vs. Broncos (12-3)
Pick: Broncos  S: Broncos
Cowboys (8-7) vs. Redskins (9-6)
Pick: Redskins   S: Redskins 

Sunday, December 23, 2012

2012 Week 16 Game Picks

By the end of the day expect many of the playoff spots to be filled. The only one that probably won't be is the NFC East. Who's in that division again? We never talk about them....

Bills (5-9) vs. Dolphins (6-8)
Pick: Dolphins   S: Dolphins
Bengals (8-6) vs. Steelers (7-7)
Pick: Steelers   S: Steelers
Redskins (8-6) vs. Eagles (4-10)
Pick: Redskins   S: Redskins
Titans (5-9) vs. Packers (10-4)
Pick: Packers   S: Packers
Rams (6-7-1) vs. Buccaneers (6-8)
Pick: Rams   S: Buccaneers
Raiders (4-10) vs. Panthers (5-9)
Pick: Panthers   S: Panthers
Saints (6-8) vs. Cowboys (8-6)
Pick: Cowboys   S: Saints
Patriots (10-4) vs. Jaguars (2-12)
Pick: Patriots   S: Patriots
Vikings (8-6) vs. Texans (12-2)
Pick: Texans   S: Texans
Colts (9-5) vs. Chiefs (2-12)
Pick: Colts   S: Colts
Chargers (5-9) vs. Jets (6-8)
Pick: Chargers   S: Chargers
Browns (5-9) vs. Broncos (11-3)
Pick: Broncos   S: Broncos
Giants (8-6) vs. Ravens (9-5)
Pick: Ravens   S: Ravens
Bears (8-6) vs. Cardinals (5-9)
Pick: Bears  S: Bears
49ers (10-3-1) vs. Seahawks (9-5)
Pick: 49ers   S: 49ers

Sunday, December 16, 2012

2012 Week 15 Picks

Some good games this week and some not good games this week (woe is to those who have to watch Chiefs/Raiders.) I believe that the Ravens could beat the Broncos, but also can't ignore the statistic that Peyton Manning has beaten the Ravens over 8 straight times. The Colts might be able to pull one out against the Texans, but I wouldn't hold out for it. And ghee, aren't we all excited for Monday Night football to be Jets/Titans...oh wait....

Denver (10-3) vs. Ravens (9-4)
Pick: Broncos   S: Broncos
Redskins (7-6) vs. Browns (5-8)
Pick: Redskins   S: Redskins
Buccaneers (6-7) vs. Saints (5-8)
Pick: Saints   S: Buccaneers
Giants (8-5) vs. Falcons (11-2)
Pick: Giants   S: Falcons
Vikings (7-6) vs. Rams (6-6-1)
Pick: Vikings   S: Vikings
Packers (9-4) vs. Bears (8-5)
Pick: Packers   S: Packers
Jaguars (2-11) vs. Dolphins (5-8)
Pick: Dolphins   S: Dolphins
Colts (9-4) vs. Texans (11-2)
Pick: Texans    S: Texans
Panthers (4-9) vs. Chargers (5-8)
Pick: Panthers   S: Chargers
Lions (4-9) vs. Cardinals (4-9)
Pick: Lions   S: Lions
Seahawks (8-5) vs. Bills (5-8)
Pick: Seahawks    S: Seahawks
Chiefs (2-11) vs. Raiders (3-10)
Pick: Chiefs   S: Raiders
Steelers (7-6) vs. Cowboys (7-6)
Pick: Steelers   S: Steelers
49ers (9-3-1) vs. Patriots (10-3)
Pick: Patriots   S: Patriots
Jets (6-7) vs. Titans (4-9)
Pick: Jets    S: Titans

Sunday, December 9, 2012

2012 Week 14 Picks

I am very excited for the Battle of the Beltway (Ravens v. Redskins) today! Though I think the Ravens will triumph, I think it will be a good game. I believe that both the Monday Night and Sunday Night games will be close as well. The Lions will put up more of a fight than you think. PS Hey Jets, here's a hint: you had it right last week -- bench Mark Sanchez.

Falcons (11-1) vs. Panthers (3-9)
Pick: Falcons  S: Falcons 
Titans (4-8) vs, Colts (8-4)
Pick: Colts   S: Colts
Rams (5-6-1) vs. Bills (5-7)
Pick: Rams   S: Bills
Chargers (4-8) vs. Steelers (7-5)
Pick: Steelers   S: Steelers
Eagles (3-9) vs. Buccaneers (6-6)
Pick: Buccaneers   S: Buccaneers
Jets (5-7) vs. Jaguars (2-10)
Pick: Jets   S: Jets
Chiefs (2-10) vs. Browns (4-8)
Pick: Browns  S: Browns
Cowboys (6-6) vs. Bengals (7-5)
Pick: Cowboys   S: Bengals
Bears (8-4) vs. Vikings (6-6)
Pick: Bears   S: Bears
Ravens (9-3) vs. Redskins (6-6)
Pick: Ravens   S: Ravens
Dolphins (5-7) vs. 49ers (8-3-1)
Pick: 49ers   S: 49ers
Cardinals (4-8) vs. Seahawks (7-5)
Pick: Seahawks   S: Seahawks
Saints (5-7) vs. Giants (7-5)
Pick: Giants   S: Giants
Lions (4-8) vs. Packers (8-4)
Pick: Packers   S: Packers
Texans (11-1) vs. Patriots (9-3)
Pick: Texans   S: Patriots

Thursday, December 6, 2012

2012 Week 14 Thursday Night Pick

Is this even a question? I would recommend watching this game just to see how Peyton plays. Maybe Carson Palmer could take some lessons tonight...

Broncos (9-3) vs. Raiders (3-9)
Pick: Broncos

Monday, December 3, 2012

What Can We Do For Each Other? The cost of life in the NFL

Once again, a tragedy in the NFL raises major questions about the sport.

The suicide and murder committed by Jovan Belcher, a starting linebacker for the Kansas City Chiefs, this past weekend has set the NFL into shock. Though the game was played on Sunday, which ended up being a rare win for the Chiefs, it is important to remember that this rises far above the base of winning and losing. Everyone is asking themselves what went wrong? How could a man, who by all accounts seemed normal and happy, turn a gun on himself and his girlfriend, leaving their three month old daughter parentless?

Football is a demanding, year round, sport. It takes an enormous toll both mentally and physically, as both players and coaches must put in long hours, often as many as 60 a week. It is not unusual for players and coaches to arrive at the facility around nine in the morning and not leave until after nine at night. We all admire the stories about coaches working so late that they simply sleep in their offices. But what many people don't see is the toll this isolation and dedication takes on the coaches and players themselves. They are human and all the time spent away from family and friends can damage important relationships. Many of us know the story about Urban Meyer, who walked away from coaching because his family was denigrating  Before he returned to coaching, his daughter made him sign a contact that included many items such as not working past certain hours, being home with his family for dinner and not letting the team and the drive to win take over their family life. Urban Meyer is a public example of what happens behind the scenes.

Even away from the spotlight, these demands are present. I remember this Halloween, which fell on a Wednesday this year, after practice when I had just finished my work with film. One of the coaches had asked about my progress, so I went across the hall to tell him I was done. When I arrived, I saw he seemed unusually quiet. When I asked what was wrong, he simply replied, "My daughters are out trick or treating right now." Coaching, and on the NFL level when players begin to have their own families, takes away these simple events that many take for granted.

Besides the time commitment, for players, the mental cost is well documented, coming to light recently last year when former San Diego Chargers linebacker Junior Seau committed suicide without warning. Unfortunately, this is an all too common event among former players. If you trail back through NFL history, you'll find suicides and major mental damages going back as long as the sport has been played. More and more, concussions and other brain damage acquired while playing football has been understood to cause these problems later in life. Seau requested that his brain be studied for post playing damage. Even in the last collective bargaining agreement, the players union demanded that one million dollars be set aside for research on the subject.

While better helmets and procedures do help, the culture has not changed. Players continue to hide concussions and the culture of play through pain is rampant on every level of football. In players' minds, there is always something to be gained by playing, no matter what the cost. A college scholarship, a bigger contract or a starting spot. As long as there are gains, players will continue to hide injuries. This damage cannot be reversed.

No one will ever truly know what snapped in Jovan Belcher's head. Whether it was one of the two causes above, or something else entirely, no one will ever know. And perhaps even knowing wouldn't bring comfort. It can't bring back the two lives that were lost. All that those grieving can do is try to slowly heal. People say that football is a game. It is not. It is a lifestyle, a commitment and a demand. Yet, it should be just a game. I've worked in football programs for five seasons, both on the high school and collegiate level. I see the strain it puts on everyone involved; the long hours, travel time and effort involved. All levels of football need to step back and ask themselves, "Is it worth it?"

I believe Brady Quinn summed it up the best. In the post game conference he told the media, "I know when it happened, I was sitting and, in my head, thinking what I could have done differently. When you ask someone how they are doing, do you really mean it? When you answer someone back (with) how you are doing, are you really telling the truth? We live in a society of social networks, with Twitter pages and Facebook, and that's fine, but we have contact with our work associates, our family, our friends, and it seems like half the time, we are more preoccupied with our phone and other things going on instead of the actual relationships that we have right in front of us." In today's modern society, even beyond football, everyone should step back and ask themselves this.

In a time when everyone is asking why, the NFL needs to step up as a league and attempt to decide if the rising costs are worth it. Asking the players to come in for more and more off season meetings, driving the coaches to work longer hours or putting winning above the people who play, are these things worth the cost?  Belcher, Seau and their predecessors are trying to send a message and no one seemed ready to listen. Why? Because it costs money? Because it might cost quality of the league? Because no one wants to admit that the league isn't flawless?

Food for thought in a world that constantly asks 'what can you do for me?' rather than 'what can we do for each other?'.



If you would like to read more about the Chiefs' story and how they coped, this is an excellent article. The Chiefs Cope

Sunday, December 2, 2012

2012 Week 13 Picks

Here are the picks for this week! I find it interesting that the games between the bad teams are getting more difficult to pick -- and also more interesting. I suppose teams with closer records and skill will play closer games. Also, in light of the tragedy yesterday morning, I do not believe that the Chiefs and Panthers game should be held, especially because the game is at arrowhead. It is not respectful of the grief of the coaches, families and players, especially those who witness the event. Sometimes the NFL needs to take a step back and realize it's about more than the money.


Cardinals (4-7) vs. Jets (4-7)
Pick: Jets   S: Jets
Jaguars (2-9) vs. Bills (4-7)
Pick: Jaguars   S: Bills
Seahawks (6-5) vs. Bears (8-3)
Pick: Bears   S: Bears
49ers (8-2-1) vs. Rams (4-6-1)
Pick: 49ers   S: 49ers
Patriots (8-3) vs. Dolphins (5-6)
Pick: Patriots  S: Patriots
Vikings (6-5) vs. Packers (7-4)
Pick: Packers   S: Packers
Colts (7-4) vs. Lions (4-7)
Pick: Lions   S: Colts
Panthers (3-8) vs. Chiefs (1-10)
Pick: Panthers   S: Panthers
Texans (10-1) vs. Titans (4-7)
Pick: Texans    S: Texans
Buccaneers (6-5) vs. Broncos (8-3)
Pick: Broncos   S: Buccaneers
Bengals (6-5) vs. Chargers (4-7)
Pick: Bengals   S: Bengals
Browns (3-8) vs. Raiders (3-8)
Pick: Browns   S: Browns
Steelers (6-5) vs. Ravens (9-2)
Pick: Ravens   S: Ravens
Eagles (3-8) vs. Cowboys (5-6)
Pick: Cowboys   S: Cowboys
Giants (7-4) vs. Redskins (5-6)
Pick: Giants  S: Giants